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2018

Show Press Hide Press
12.9.18
12.8.18
12.7.18
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12.1.18
NAR vs. the naysayers
The Real Deal
11.30.18
11.29.18
11.29.18
11.29.18
11.27.18
11.23.18
11.23.18
11.23.18
Send in the Stagers
The New York Times
11.21.18
11.21.18
11.20.18
11.19.18
11.17.18
11.17.18
11.16.18
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10.31.18
10.31.18
10.31.18
10.29.18
10.29.18
10.27.18
10.26.18
DONE DEALS: Harlem block buster
Real Estate Weekly
10.26.18
10.26.18
10.26.18
10.25.18
10.25.18
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10.24.18
10.22.18
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10.10.18
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10.8.18
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10.6.18
10.5.18
Done Deals: Asked and Answered
Real Estate Weekly
10.5.18
10.4.18
10.4.18
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10.3.18
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STYLE RETURNS TO NEWSSTANDS WITH A SUPERHERO NUMBER
Il Corriere Della Sera Italian Men's Magazine
10.1.18
9.30.18
9.30.18
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9.19.18
9.19.18
Done Deals
Real Estate Weekly
9.19.18
Done Deals
Real Estate Weekly
9.18.18
9.17.18
9.17.18
9.15.18
9.15.18
New Listings
Real Estate Weekly
9.15.18
New Listings
Real Estate Weekly
9.14.18
9.14.18
9.13.18
9.13.18
9.13.18
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9.13.18
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9.12.18
Ready For His Close-Up
Cottages & Gardens
9.12.18
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9.7.18
9.7.18
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9.6.18
9.6.18
9.5.18
9.4.18
9.4.18
How to Invest in Luxury Real Estate
U.S. News and World Report
9.3.18
9.3.18
9.2.18
9.2.18
9.2.18
9.1.18
9.1.18
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8.30.18
8.30.18
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8.22.18
8.21.18
8.21.18
8.19.18
8.18.18
8.17.18
8.17.18
8.16.18
8.15.18
On the Market in New York City
The New York Times
8.15.18
8.15.18
8.14.18
8.13.18
8.13.18
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8.2.18
How to Glow from Head to Toe!
ABC Morning Blend
8.1.18
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7.19.18
On the Market
The New York Times
7.19.18
7.18.18
7.18.18
7.18.18
7.17.18
7.13.18
7.13.18
7.12.18
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7.6.18
The Rise of the Single Female Homeowner
US News and World Report
7.5.18
7.5.18
7.5.18
7.3.18
7.2.18
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7.1.18
No longer New Yorkers
The Real Deal
6.29.18
6.29.18
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6.27.18
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New Listings
Real Estate Weekly
6.27.18
6.26.18
6.26.18
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6.25.18
6.22.18
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6.21.18
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6.13.18
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New Listings
Real Estate Weekly
6.13.18
6.12.18
6.12.18
The Guide to First Time Homebuyers
U.S. News & World Report
6.11.18
6.8.18
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4.17.18
3.27.18
3.22.18
3.16.18
3.16.18
3.14.18
3.13.18
2.25.18
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2017

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10.16.17
10.15.17
10.12.17
10.4.17
8.22.17
8.22.17
8.22.17
8.22.17
8.12.17
7.21.17
7.14.17
7.7.17
7.7.17
7.6.17
7.6.17
7.6.17
7.6.17
Congratulations (Again), Wendy!
Wall Street Journal
7.5.17
6.28.17
6.27.17
6.20.17
6.14.17
6.13.17
Warburg And Wallack Partner
CityBizList NYC
6.12.17
6.9.17
6.8.17
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5.23.17
5.19.17
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4.23.17
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4.18.17
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4.17.17
4.17.17
4.14.17
4.12.17
4.7.17
4.1.17
3.10.17
3.10.17
Prewar Is So Last Year
New York Times
3.2.17
3.2.17
2.21.17
2.7.17
2.6.17
2.2.17
1.31.17
1.24.17
1.20.17
On the Market
The New York Times
1.11.17
1.5.17
1.4.17
1.1.17
1.1.17
See More See Less

2016

Show Press Hide Press
12.29.16
12.13.16
12.13.16
12.6.16
12.1.16
11.30.16
11.28.16
11.27.16
11.22.16
11.18.16
11.18.16
11.9.16
11.4.16
On the Market
The New York Times
11.4.16
10.31.16
10.31.16
10.30.16
10.28.16
10.7.16
On the Market
The New York Times
10.4.16
9.30.16
9.25.16
9.23.16
9.19.16
A Water Skier Seeks Higher Ground
The Wall Street Journal
9.13.16
9.9.16
Where to Live? Ask an App
The New York Times
9.1.16
8.5.16
8.2.16
8.2.16
7.27.16
7.21.16
7.19.16
Kowalczuk and Compton join Warburg Realty
New York Real Estate Journal
7.11.16
7.1.16
6.24.16
Once and Always a New Yorker
The New York Times
6.16.16
Dream Homes
New York Post
6.16.16
6.10.16
Industrial Elegance in SoHo
The New York Times
6.1.16
6.1.16
Living Large in Manhattan
CASTLES Magazine
6.1.16
5.26.16
5.26.16
5.25.16
5.17.16
5.16.16
5.13.16
5.13.16
Priced Out of My Childhood Home
The New York Times
5.6.16
The Golden Mean
Metropolitan Magazine
5.6.16
5.6.16
Featured Property: 150 Reade Street
Metropolitan Magazine
5.6.16
Soiree at 150 Charles
Metropolitan Magazine
5.6.16
Best in the West: 150 Charles, M9
Metropolitan Magazine
5.6.16
5.1.16
5.1.16
5.1.16
4.13.16
4.12.16
4.11.16
4.8.16
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4.5.16
4.1.16
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4.1.16
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4.1.16
4.1.16
4.1.16
3.31.16
3.31.16
3.30.16
3.30.16
New Listing: 30 West Street
Real Estate Weekly
3.28.16
3.25.16
Fusco joins Warburg Realty
New York Real Estate Journal
3.23.16
Who’s News: Mary Anne Fusco
Real Estate Weekly
3.23.16
New Listing: 39 Vestry Street
Real Estate Weekly
3.17.16
Dream Homes
New York Post
3.16.16
3.15.16
3.10.16
3.10.16
Dream Homes
New York Post
3.8.16
3.8.16
3.7.16
3.1.16
3.1.16
NYC Premier Properties
Luxury Listings NYC
3.1.16
Deeds & Dont’s
New York Cottages & Gardens
2.26.16
Executive Moves
Crain's
2.24.16
Sugar Hill condos hit market
Real Estate Weekly
2.18.16
2.17.16
New Listing: 475 Park Avenue
Real Estate Weekly
2.17.16
2.17.16
2.12.16
2.12.16
2.11.16
2.10.16
2.9.16
2.5.16
2.5.16
2.5.16
Big Ticket
The New York Times
2.3.16
2.3.16
2.1.16
2.1.16
1.29.16
1.27.16
1.22.16
The Art of Home Staging
The New York Times
1.20.16
Unfailingly Vibrant in The West Village
Private Air Luxury Homes
1.15.16
1.15.16
1.13.16
1.12.16
1.10.16
Something about a quick deal
Luxury Listings NYC
1.10.16
Premier Properties
Luxury Listings NYC
1.10.16
Premier Properties
Luxury Listings NYC
1.8.16
1.6.16
1.5.16
1.5.16
1.4.16
1.1.16
The interest rate upshot
The Real Deal
1.1.16
See More See Less

2015

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12.23.15
12.22.15
12.22.15
12.21.15
12.21.15
12.18.15
On the Market
The New York Times
12.18.15
12.10.15
12.10.15
12.10.15
12.1.15
Haber inks a book deal
The Real Deal
12.1.15
12.1.15
12.1.15
11.30.15
11.27.15
11.25.15
11.25.15
11.24.15
11.18.15
Symposium
Metropolita
11.18.15
New Listings
Real Estate Weekly
11.17.15
11.13.15
11.12.15
11.11.15
11.9.15
11.9.15
11.4.15
11.3.15
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11.2.15
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11.1.15
11.1.15
11.1.15
10.28.15
10.25.15
On the Market in New York City
The New York Times
10.23.15
10.22.15
10.22.15
10.21.15
10.21.15
10.20.15
10.16.15
10.14.15
10.12.15
10.6.15
10.6.15
10.2.15
10.1.15
In their words…
The Real Deal
10.1.15
9.30.15
9.23.15
9.22.15
9.14.15
9.11.15
9.11.15
9.9.15
9.3.15
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8.28.15
8.21.15
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8.20.15
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8.13.15
8.11.15
8.7.15
8.7.15
8.7.15
8.5.15
8.4.15
8.1.15
8.1.15
Win now, decide later
The Real Deal
7.28.15
7.27.15
7.24.15
7.23.15
7.21.15
7.20.15
7.13.15
7.12.15
7.8.15
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7.6.15
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7.5.15
7.3.15
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7.1.15
7.1.15
7.1.15
7.1.15
6.29.15
6.28.15
6.26.15
6.25.15
Fishman joins Warburg Realty
New York Real Estate Journal
6.25.15
6.24.15
6.23.15
6.22.15
6.22.15
6.19.15
6.18.15
6.18.15
6.17.15
6.17.15
6.17.15
6.17.15
6.16.15
6.16.15
6.16.15
6.12.15
6.12.15
6.12.15
6.9.15
6.5.15
6.5.15
6.5.15
6.3.15
6.3.15
6.3.15
6.3.15
6.2.15
6.1.15
6.1.15
5.30.15
5.29.15
5.28.15
5.28.15
5.27.15
5.27.15
5.26.15
Home Prices Continue to Climb
Wall Street Journal
5.21.15
$21.5 million Manhattan townhouse is a steal?
CNBC Secret Lives of the Super Rich
5.20.15
5.18.15
5.18.15
5.18.15
5.16.15
5.15.15
5.15.15
5.15.15
5.14.15
5.8.15
5.4.15
5.1.15
5.1.15
5.1.15
5.1.15
5.1.15
5.1.15
Manhattan Market Watch: Moving Tips
Mann Report Residential
5.1.15
5.1.15
4.30.15
4.30.15
4.28.15
4.24.15
4.22.15
4.21.15
4.16.15
4.15.15
4.14.15
4.13.15
4.12.15
4.12.15
4.3.15
4.3.15
4.3.15
4.2.15
4.1.15
4.1.15
4.1.15
4.1.15
3.20.15
3.19.15
3.17.15
Lauren Bacall’s Apartment
Top Ten Real Estate Deals
3.13.15
3.12.15
3.3.15
We Hear…
New York Post
3.3.15
3.3.15
3.2.15
3.1.15
EXTRA! EXTRA! READ ALL ABOUT IT IN 2015
Mann Report Residential
3.1.15
3.1.15
2.26.15
2.25.15
2.20.15
On The Market In New York City
The New York Times
2.19.15
2.17.15
2.11.15
2.5.15
2.5.15
2.3.15
2.2.15
2.2.15
Fixer-uppers gain appeal
The Real Deal
2.1.15
2.1.15
1.30.15
1.29.15
1.25.15
1.16.15
1.16.15
1.12.15
1.7.15
1.7.15
1.6.15
1.6.15
1.6.15
1.5.15
See More See Less

2014

Show Press Hide Press
12.29.14
12.29.14
12.26.14
On the Market: Sutton Place
The New York Times
12.23.14
12.17.14
12.1.14
Prime Rates
Gotham
11.26.14
11.24.14
11.14.14
11.12.14
11.11.14
11.6.14
Houses of the Week
New York Post
11.5.14
11.1.14
11.1.14
10.31.14
10.31.14
10.31.14
10.24.14
10.24.14
10.20.14
10.17.14
10.15.14
10.14.14
10.9.14
10.1.14
10.1.14
10.1.14
9.20.14
9.19.14
9.10.14
9.10.14
9.4.14
9.1.14
Doubling Down On Cuomo
The Real Deal
8.26.14
8.23.14
8.22.14
8.8.14
8.8.14
8.6.14
8.1.14
7.28.14
7.23.14
7.14.14
7.9.14
7.3.14
7.2.14
7.1.14
7.1.14
7.1.14
7.1.14
7.1.14
6.30.14
6.24.14
6.13.14
6.4.14
6.1.14
5.30.14
5.21.14
5.21.14
5.16.14
5.16.14
5.6.14
Profile: CLAIRE GROOME
New York Family
5.1.14
4.20.14
4.16.14
4.9.14
4.7.14
Dads of Real Estate
New York Family Magazine
4.7.14
4.6.14
4.1.14
3.30.14
3.28.14
3.26.14
3.25.14
3.25.14
3.25.14
3.12.14
Sales Updates – Harlem
The Real Deal
3.10.14
3.10.14
3.1.14
3.1.14
2.26.14
New Listings: Beekman
Brokers Weekly
2.20.14
2.14.14
2.5.14
2.1.14
2.1.14
1.29.14
1.29.14
1.29.14
1.29.14
1.29.14
1.27.14
1.14.14
1.14.14
1.3.14
1.3.14
1.1.14
See More See Less

2013

Show Press Hide Press
12.30.13
12.19.13
12.4.13
Gotta get gund
New York Post
11.26.13
11.26.13
11.15.13
11.15.13
11.12.13
11.8.13
11.6.13
10.31.13
10.30.13
10.27.13
10.25.13
10.21.13
10.16.13
10.11.13
10.7.13
10.7.13
Park Manhattan is Sold Out!
Mann Report Residential
10.1.13
10.1.13
10.1.13
Sales in the City – Summer 2013
Residency NY Magazine
10.1.13
Sales in the City – Fall 2013
Residency NY Magazine
9.27.13
9.21.13
9.19.13
9.12.13
9.11.13
9.11.13
9.10.13
9.9.13
9.1.13
8.27.13
8.27.13
8.26.13
8.19.13
8.19.13
8.18.13
8.1.13
EVERYONE IN THE POOL!
Mann Report Residential
8.1.13
8.1.13
7.18.13
7.8.13
7.2.13
7.1.13
6.23.13
6.21.13
6.9.13
6.4.13
6.2.13
5.31.13
5.23.13
5.19.13
On the Market: Kips Bay Co-op
The New York Times
5.14.13
5.9.13
5.8.13
5.1.13
5.1.13
4.30.13
4.18.13
4.10.13
4.8.13
4.8.13
4.4.13
4.1.13
4.1.13
4.1.13
3.23.13
3.18.13
3.17.13
3.7.13
Dream Homes
New York Post
3.5.13
3.1.13
3.1.13
2.26.13
2.22.13
Houses of the Week
New York Post
2.22.13
2.13.13
Properties of the Month
Avenue Magazine
2.12.13
2.11.13
2.8.13
Dear Owner: Please Sell
The New York Times
2.5.13
2.4.13
2.4.13
2.1.13
2.1.13
2.1.13
Warburg Honors Top Agents of 2012
Mann Report Residential
2.1.13
1.31.13
1.15.13
1.1.13
1.1.13
1.1.13
1.1.13
1.1.13
1.1.13
See More See Less

2012

Show Press Hide Press
12.31.12
12.23.12
12.21.12
12.11.12
12.6.12
Who’s News
Brokers Weekly
12.4.12
11.27.12
11.26.12
11.1.12
10.10.12
Who’s News
Real Estate Weekly
10.1.12
10.1.12
Just Sold!
New York Post
10.1.12
9.24.12
9.12.12
9.12.12
9.4.12
8.24.12
8.21.12
8.20.12
8.9.12
8.8.12
8.4.12
8.2.12
8.1.12
8.1.12
Alicia Corpening Joins Warburg Realty
Mann Report Residential
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Pricey Co-ops Find Buyers
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Have a Drink, Buy Some Art, Get a Condo
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2011

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2011: The Year of the Turndown
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11.23.11
Should You Buy a House?
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11.22.11
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Celebrity Real Estate
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Sightings
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Bahamas’ Albany Continues to Grow
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Manhattan Market Watch: A FINE ROMANCE
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8.30.11
Living on the Park
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8.3.11
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Trio Seeking Second-Time Chelsea Charm
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Emerging Neighborhoods
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Moving On Up
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2.28.11
Q&A with Deborah Lupard
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2.27.11
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2.13.11
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Uptown Upturn
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2010

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The New York Times
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7.2.10
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Some Condos Avoid Shoals
The Wall Street Journal
6.23.10
New Appraisal Rules Irk Some Brokers
The Wall Street Journal
6.20.10
Caught in the Web
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6.1.10
Manhattan Market Watch: ON NEGOTIATING
Mann Report Residential
5.27.10
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Time to relist?
The Real Deal
4.1.10
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3.19.10
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Real Brokers of NYC
Brokers Weekly
3.5.10

Manhattan Market Watch: AS JANUARY GOES, SO GOES THE YEAR

March 1st 2013

Mann Report Residential

By By Shirley Hackel, Executive Managing Director, Warburg Realty Partnership

Does the direction of January predict the course for the year? Wall Street where the adage originated thinks so. The first month of 2013 scored impressive gains with the S&P up 5.05% and the Dow gaining 5.77%—signaling the best January since 1987 and rising above 14000 for the first time in over five years. In Manhattan’s residential marketplace, a similar scenario is occurring on the Main Streets of our city with 859 contracts signed in the first month of 2013, up 30% compared to January 2012 and the highest January according to Noah Rosenblatt since his online UrbanDigs began compiling real time analytics in 2009. Following a gangbuster December when players raced to close before January 1 tax changes, and contrary to expectations for a beginning of the year slowdown, properties in January were snapped up by buyers who competed aggressively and speedily for a limited supply of homes.

Will competitive bidding become as commonplace in 2013 as it once was in 2007 when the market was at its peak? Today as then as high buyer demand and low quality inventory converge, when a well priced offering comes to market, crowds of buyers and their agents rush to view. Within days, brokers are collecting multiple bids, and the property goes to contract within weeks. For sure there are similarities to 2007, but there are also notable differences.

In 2007 at the height of the market after successive years of escalating prices, buyers could hardly imagine a downturn in Manhattan real estate. A combination of windfall Wall Street bonuses, easy lending practices and exotic mortgage products fueled the run up in prices from 2003-2007. Rates hovered at 6%, interest only and no income verification loans were prevalent, nearly anyone with a pulse could secure a mortgage and lenders readily approved nearly all buildings. Buyers leveraged highly with little concern for risk, and apartments flew off the shelves, often trading 10-15% above asking prices.

Current interest rates, while inching up slowly remain at historic lows—as of this writing 3.5% fixed for 30 years. But the lending industry is over regulated today. Both borrower and building are scrutinized exactingly and repeatedly, and clearing to close is fraught with delays. Citibank’s Jeff Appel observes, “In the last year, lenders have become better at interpreting the new blitz of regulations. But as the CFPB (Consumer Finance Protection Bureau) prepares to roll-out the long awaited QRM (Qualified Residential Mortgage) guidelines, we will have to see if there is any net positive traction for consumers who have struggled while seeking a new mortgage.” At the same time, there’s considerably less cash bonus money around to fill shopping purses. With few exceptions, financial professionals are being paid with stock options and little or no cash, and many firms are capping bonuses or deferring them based on long term performance.

Today’s buyers are more risk averse than their predecessors. Instead of frothy excess, they are seeking value, and when it surfaces, they are acting quickly and assertively to purchase. The current climate is indisposed to low ball offers and favors cash buyers first, and second those purchasers who can waive a financing contingency.

While there is increased velocity in all sectors of the market and all price ranges, not all properties are uniformly rushing to contract. Indeed, properties in mint condition are achieving astonishing results. Two from last week are noteworthy examples: a stunning high floor prewar 6 with a terrace and views on Park Avenue in the 70’s is purportedly going to contract 20% above the asking—a cool $1M over the $4.595 ask; in Tribeca, a Hudson Street loft designed by its architect owner received the first of several full price $3.395 offers during the first hour of the first open house. Meanwhile other homes that are either overpriced or have obvious shortcomings like a lack of sunlight, poor condition, or an out of the way location are being ignored.

In the current climate where the pace of activity is quick, the market poses challenges for everyone. Often it takes losing a property for a buyer to understand the elements that go into an offer, and that there are no second chances with Best and Final negotiations. Sellers need to appreciate that an inflated asking price not only diverts bidder attention but fails to capture the possibilities presented in the first weeks of marketing. Both principals need to acknowledge that a rising market creates problems with appraisals which are coming up short with more frequency. Appraisals that fall below the contract price not only affect the karma of a transaction, but also negatively impact the loan to value ratio, significantly reducing the amount a lender will lend; most vulnerable are jumbo loan borrowers and buyers of co-ops which limit financing to a specified percentage of the appraised value.

A spreading optimism is feeding the current market. As the economy improves, consumers who feel more secure are more likely to make a move. Maybe even inventory of resales will grow. While global uncertainties and a 7.9% U.S unemployment rate will keep overconfidence in check, January is a likely barometer for how the year will progress: 2013 figures to be very good.

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